Glossary
Pistol then map win
A conditional line: only maps where the team actually won a pistol round count towards the sample.
Pistol rounds are the first round of each half. Winning one hands over a strong economy for the next few rounds, which is why pistol performance shows up in map results years before anyone gets round-level data.
“Pistol then map win” asks a conditional question: given that this team won a pistol round, did they also win the map? That is a narrower claim than map win rate, and it needs a narrower sample.
The sample is conditional
Only maps where the team won at least one pistol round count towards the sample. A map where they lost both pistols is excluded entirely. That keeps the number honest — but it also shrinks the sample, so it hits the floor faster than a plain map win rate.
Do not compare it to map win rate
Because the denominators differ, a pistol-then-map-win rate and a map win rate are not comparable side by side. A high conditional rate on a small conditional sample is the easiest number on this site to misread, so read the map count before the percentage.
Questions
- Why is the pistol-then-map sample smaller than the map sample?
- Because maps where the team won no pistol round are excluded. The line only applies to maps where the pistol win actually happened.
- Is a pistol win a strong predictor of a map win?
- It is a real advantage, not a guarantee. Pistol rounds grant economy, and economy wins rounds, but teams lose map after winning a pistol. The conditional rate is the honest way to read it.
Related terms
- Wins the map
One map, one result. As soon as you bet a map you have stopped betting the series.
- Round win rate
Rounds are a much bigger sample than maps. Side splits show where the rounds are coming from.